LOCAL WEATHER CONDITIONS AT Franklin, Venango Regional Airport Temperature 33.8 F / 1 C Wind Chill 30 F / 0 C Dew Point 30.2 F / -1 C Humidity 87% Wind Speed 4.6 Wind Direction ESE 100 Degrees Visibility 10 Miles Sky Conditions scattered at 1300 feet Current Weather Barometer 30.12 Inches Issued At 01/10/2026 05:56 $$ |
 |
No current warnings, advisories or statements
|
Area Forecast Discussion
Convective Outlooks: Daily Hydrometeorological Data Summary Quantitive Precipitation Forecast Discussion Local Storm Reports (All NWS Pittsburgh areas) Mesoscale Discussions - All States Child Amber Alerts - All States
|
FXUS61 KPBZ 100558 AFDPBZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 1258 AM EST Sat Jan 10 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... The potential for snow bands and possible squalls has increased somewhat for Sunday as a reinforcing surface cold front and strong upper trough crosses the region. Expected snowfall amounts for Sunday have increased in the ridges, with eastern Tucker county near Winter Weather Advisory criteria. The potential for gusty wind continues on Sunday, with the strongest gusts across the higher terrain areas. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Rain returns today and this evening 2) Snow showers with possible squalls on Sunday 3) Gusty wind Sunday, with advisory level gusts possible across eastern Tucker county WV 4) Colder with rain changing to snow Wednesday into Thursday next week && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1... Rain returns today and this evening A digging upper trough is expected to track eastward from the Midwest today. A developing surface wave is expected to move along a stalled surface front across the Lower Ohio Valley to the Mid Atlantic region. Rain is expected to increase from S-N today as this initial wave tracks along the front. A cold front is also expected to approach the Upper Ohio Valley region late this afternoon ahead of the deepening upper trough. This should result in additional rain showers affecting the region later today into tonight. A crossing upper jet should also enhance ascent later this afternoon and evening. At this time, rainfall amounts are expected to range from a quarter to a half inch. KEY MESSAGE 2... Snow showers with possible squalls on Sunday The initial surface cold front will complete its passage across the region this evening. A second reinforcing front is expected to approach the region Sunday morning, followed by the strong upper trough and vort max Sunday afternoon. Moisture in the dendritic layer is expected to increase early Sunday morning, and the latest model soundings indicate some instability in the layer with a steepening lapse rate. A band of snow, or possible squalls, should impact portions of the area Sunday morning, with additional activity into the afternoon. The latest CAMS also indicate this banding and possible squalls. Temperatures are expected to remain steady or slowly fall through the day, and should be mainly at or below freezing. Any heavier snow bands and squalls will have the potential for a quick accumulation of snow, reduced visibilities, and possible travel hazards. In addition, wind gusts of 30-40 mph will also be possible during this time with a tight surface pressure gradient in place, and a steep lapse rate under cold advection. The highest potential for advisory level snow accumulations are expected to be across eastern Tucker county WV, with probabilities of this occurrence currently at 20 percent or less farther north across the Laurel Highlands. KEY MESSAGE 3... Gusty wind Sunday, with advisory level gusts possible across eastern Tucker county WV Wind gusts of 30-40 mph are expected on Sunday across much of the area, with a tight surface pressure gradient in place, and a steep lapse rate under cold advection. The higher terrain areas across eastern Tucker county WV have the highest probability of seeing gusts from 45-55 mph (Wind Advisory criteria.) The Laurel Highlands could also be close to advisory level gusts, though probabilities are lower in this area. KEY MESSAGE 4... Colder with rain changing to snow Wednesday into Thursday next week Model ensembles indicate another deepening trough approaching the Upper Ohio Valley region Wednesday into Thursday. Rain is expected ahead of this trough on Wednesday, with much colder temperatures and rain changing to snow through Thursday. && .AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... KEY MESSAGES... 1) Ongoing MVFR/IFR stratus north of PIT lifts north through early to mid morning 2) Widespread restrictions and showers return from the south mid to late morning throughout the day 3) Cold front brings wind shift and end of precip after 00z. Dry overnight, but falling temperatures and snow showers expected Sunday ------------------------------------------------------------ MVFR cigs are expected to continue north of PIT through early morning, though latest guidance suggests a gradual erosion and shift of the stratus deck northward around 12z with the onset of south winds and daytime mixing. A brief period of VFR could be observed even at FKL/DUJ early to mid morning if this transpires. Elsewhere, VFR is ongoing and will continue through early to mid morning hours. Low pressure lifting up the Eastern seaboard today returns widespread rain showers to our area from south to north. Latest timing has the rain and associated restrictions reaching MGW by 12z-14z, PIT/AGC by 14z-16z, and FKL/DUJ after 16z. Ensemble probabilities still heavily favor MVFR (80% or greater), but also continue to show notable chances (30-50%) for IFR especially at FKL/DUJ. Wind will be light throughout the day around 5-10 knots veering from ESE to WSW by evening. A cold front pushes through from the west after 00z, bringing an end to the rain and breezy westerly winds with gusts to 20-25 knots possible for a few hours following FROPA. Restrictions continue behind the front into Sunday morning under cold advection. Can't rule out some snow showers sneaking into the western portions of our area (ZZV) just before 12z Sunday. Outlook... Additional rounds of precipitation and restrictions are expected Sunday with snow becoming the predominant precip type as temperatures fall. Some of the snow showers may be heavy at times with a cellular nature resulting in rapid (but brief) reductions to visibility. && .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. OH...None. WV...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...WM AVIATION...Cermak |