LOCAL WEATHER CONDITIONS AT Franklin, Venango Regional Airport Temperature 60.8 F / 16 C Dew Point 57.2 F / 14 C Humidity 88% Wind Speed 10.4 Wind Direction SW 230 Degrees Visibility 10 Miles Sky Conditions broken at 1000 feet overcast at 1400 feet Current Weather Light Rain Barometer 29.89 Inches Issued At 05/02/2025 09:56 $$ |
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ACUS48 KWNS 020845 SWOD48 SPC AC 020844 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Monday - Southern High Plains... Lee cyclogenesis will strengthen on Monday in the southern High Plains as a mid-level trough advects eastward. As this occurs, rich low-level moisture will advect into West Texas which will result in strong instability as temperatures continue to cool aloft. Expect scattered thunderstorm development along the dryline during the afternoon/evening. However, more widespread storm development is likely after 00Z as the low-level jet strengthens across West Texas. Initial supercells will have a threat for all severe weather hazards before eventual upscale growth into a MCS likely results in a greater severe wind threat. ...Day 5/Tuesday - Central/East Texas into Louisiana... Day 4 thunderstorms will likely be ongoing at the beginning of the period along a frontal zone across central/East Texas and persist eastward through the day. Destabilization remains questionable as strong high pressure and the low-latitude nature of the mid-level trough may limit northward movement of the warm front. The potential for this front to be stationary, in addition to widespread convection/cloud cover concerns along the front, preclude severe weather probabilities at this time. However, there will likely be a corridor along the frontal zone with some greater severe weather threat which may become more clear as the event draws closer. Additional severe storms will be possible Day 6 and 7 along the frontal zone/composite outflow in Texas, but the location of this feature and degree of destabilization along it will be highly dependent on prior days convective activity. For these reasons, no probabilities have been added at this time. ..Bentley.. 05/02/2025 |